Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs RB Bragantino

Corinthians vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-13 22:00
Corinthians
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
28%
2
33%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians
DLDLW
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 RB Bragantino Away
Jul 2025 Corinthians 1 - 2 RB Bragantino Away
Aug 2024 Corinthians 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Draw
Apr 2024 Corinthians(A) 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away
Nov 2023 Corinthians(A) 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3
Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)39%
Draw (X)28%
RB Bragantino Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
37% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
63% -1.5 84%
79% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42
Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians
9 12 12 7 11
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.13

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Depay
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target26%
Igor Coronado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gustavo Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs RB Bragantino

84.82% Pass accuracy 81.68%
467.61 Passes per match 390.63
0.03 Goals prevented 0.01
13.95 Fouls committed 14.11
2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.79 Offsides 1.46
15.97 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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