What markets are included in the Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-11-20 22:30

Corinthians

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

29%

26%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Corinthians (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate53%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Corinthians

DLDLW

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Corinthians averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Corinthians 3 - 1 Sao Paulo Home

Jul 2025 Corinthians(A) 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

Sep 2024 Corinthians(A) 1 - 3 Sao Paulo Away

Jun 2024 Corinthians 2 - 2 Sao Paulo Draw

Sep 2023 Corinthians(A) 1 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Corinthians won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Corinthians — unbeaten run (home)3

Corinthians — scoring streak (home)3

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Corinthians Win (1)45%

Draw (X)29%

Sao Paulo Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 32%

21% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 68%

79% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Corinthians — scored (home)1.42

Corinthians — conceded (home)0.95

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Corinthians — BTTS matches (home)53%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Corinthians (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.4

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Corinthians (home)

For2.4

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Corinthians — total shots (home)13.7

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Corinthians — on target (home)4.2

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians xG (home)1.31

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

55.74% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

84.82% Pass accuracy 83.71%

467.61 Passes per match 438.63

0.03 Goals prevented 0.21

13.95 Fouls committed 14.24

2.43 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.79 Offsides 1.47

15.97 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Corinthians vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights