Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc

Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-08 23:30
Coritiba
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Chapecoense-sc
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
22%
2
49%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coritiba (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Chapecoense-sc (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coritiba
L
Chapecoense-sc
DLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%
0% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coritiba averages 1 goals scored at home, while Chapecoense-sc averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
22%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 Coritiba 0 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Draw
Apr 2025 Coritiba(A) 2 - 1 Chapecoense-sc Home
Nov 2024 Coritiba(A) 1 - 2 Chapecoense-sc Away
Jul 2024 Coritiba 1 - 0 Chapecoense-sc Home

In the last 4 meetings, Coritiba won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Coritiba — unbeaten run (home)0
Coritiba — scoring streak (home)1
Chapecoense-sc — winless run (away)2
Chapecoense-sc — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Coritiba Win (1)29%
Draw (X)22%
Chapecoense-sc Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%
0% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%
100% -1.5 50%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coritiba — scored (home)1
Coritiba — conceded (home)3
Chapecoense-sc — scored (away)1
Chapecoense-sc — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Coritiba — BTTS matches (home)100%
Chapecoense-sc — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coritiba (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Chapecoense-sc (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Chapecoense-sc
15 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.525%
Under 2.575%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Coritiba (home)

For—

Chapecoense-sc (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.23

Coritiba

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.572%
Shots Over 13.557%
Expected shots14.90
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.89

Chapecoense-sc

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.33
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.78

Shots per Game

Coritiba — total shots (home)—
Chapecoense-sc — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Coritiba — on target (home)—
Chapecoense-sc — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coritiba

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Chapecoense-sc

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Coritiba

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Chapecoense-sc

Giovanni Augusto
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Y. Bolasie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Marcinho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Matias
Shots on Target/Game0
+0.5 On Target0%
+1.5 On Target0%
Doma
Shots on Target/Game0
+0.5 On Target0%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc

0% Pass accuracy 0%
- Tackles per match 16.33

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc prediction analysis

Review Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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