Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K.

Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-03 17:00
Çorum FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Manisa F.K.
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
27%
2
27%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Çorum FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate52%

Manisa F.K. (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Çorum FK
WWLWD
Manisa F.K.
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 74%
57% +1.5 26%
24% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Çorum FK averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Manisa F.K. averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Çorum FK(A) 1 - 0 Manisa F.K. Home
Oct 2025 Çorum FK 3 - 1 Manisa F.K. Home
Apr 2025 Çorum FK 3 - 2 Manisa F.K. Home
Dec 2024 Çorum FK(A) 1 - 0 Manisa F.K. Home
Mar 2024 Çorum FK 4 - 3 Manisa F.K. Home

In the last 5 meetings, Çorum FK won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Çorum FK — unbeaten run (home)5
Çorum FK — scoring streak (home)5
Manisa F.K. — winless run (away)1
Manisa F.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Çorum FK Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Manisa F.K. Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 74%
57% +1.5 26%
24% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 26%
43% -1.5 74%
76% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Çorum FK — scored (home)1.71
Çorum FK — conceded (home)0.67
Manisa F.K. — scored (away)1.11
Manisa F.K. — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Çorum FK — BTTS matches (home)52%
Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Çorum FK (home)

Corners for7.7
Corners against2.7

Manisa F.K. (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Çorum FK
10 10 8 17 10
Manisa F.K.
10 8 6 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Çorum FK (home)

For2.5

Manisa F.K. (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Çorum FK — total shots (home)14.9
Manisa F.K. — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Çorum FK — on target (home)5.1
Manisa F.K. — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box4.83

Manisa F.K.

Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Pedrinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Samudio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Manisa F.K.

Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Çorum FK xG (home)1.83
Manisa F.K. xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

59.1% Possession 45.87%

Team Comparison Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K.

83.48% Pass accuracy 78.26%
467.05 Passes per match 363
0 Goals prevented 0
12.31 Fouls committed 11.45
1.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
2.48 Offsides 1.63
14.5 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K. prediction analysis

Review Çorum FK vs Manisa F.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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