Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coventry vs Bristol City

Coventry vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-13 15:00
Coventry
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bristol City
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
22%
2
20%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coventry (Home)

Goals scored / match2.22
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate48%
BTTS rate61%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coventry
WWWDD
Bristol City
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
65% +1.5 30%
48% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 4%
9% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coventry averages 2.22 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
22%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Coventry(A) 2 - 0 Bristol City Home
Dec 2025 Coventry 1 - 0 Bristol City Home
Jan 2025 Coventry 1 - 0 Bristol City Home
Aug 2024 Coventry(A) 1 - 1 Bristol City Draw
Aug 2024 Coventry(A) 1 - 0 Bristol City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Coventry won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Coventry — unbeaten run (home)4
Coventry — scoring streak (home)2
Bristol City — winless run (away)3
Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coventry Win (1)58%
Draw (X)22%
Bristol City Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
65% +1.5 30%
48% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 4%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
35% -1.5 70%
52% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 96%
91% -4.5 100%

Coventry vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coventry — scored (home)2.22
Coventry — conceded (home)0.83
Bristol City — scored (away)1.13
Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Coventry — BTTS matches (home)61%
Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coventry (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.5

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coventry
9 6 3 9 6
Bristol City
9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Coventry (home)

For1.4

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Coventry — total shots (home)18.0
Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Coventry — on target (home)5.8
Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39
Outside the box4.78

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Twine
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Riis
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Bell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry xG (home)1.86
Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Coventry vs Bristol City

80.43% Pass accuracy 77.85%
438.33 Passes per match 424.78
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.04
9.41 Fouls committed 9.54
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 3.23
2.37 Offsides 2.02
13.76 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coventry vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review Coventry vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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