Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coventry vs Charlton

Coventry vs Charlton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-29 15:00
Coventry
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Charlton
Away

Prediction Summary

1
66%
X
20%
2
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coventry (Home)

Goals scored / match2.22
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate48%
BTTS rate61%

Charlton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.91
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate57%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coventry
WWWDD
Charlton
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 74%
65% +1.5 13%
48% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 57%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coventry averages 2.22 goals scored at home, while Charlton averages 0.91 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
66%
Draw
20%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Coventry(A) 1 - 1 Charlton Draw
Nov 2025 Coventry 3 - 1 Charlton Home

In the last 2 meetings, Coventry won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Coventry — unbeaten run (home)4
Coventry — scoring streak (home)2
Charlton — winless run (away)4
Charlton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coventry Win (1)66%
Draw (X)20%
Charlton Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 74%
65% +1.5 13%
48% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 26%
35% -1.5 87%
52% -2.5 96%
91% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Coventry vs Charlton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coventry — scored (home)2.22
Coventry — conceded (home)0.83
Charlton — scored (away)0.91
Charlton — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Coventry — BTTS matches (home)61%
Charlton — BTTS matches (away)57%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coventry (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.5

Charlton (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coventry
9 6 3 9 6
Charlton
11 9 5 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Coventry (home)

For1.4

Charlton (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Coventry — total shots (home)18.0
Charlton — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Coventry — on target (home)5.8
Charlton — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Charlton

Inside the box7.54
Outside the box3.46

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Charlton

S. Carey
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Kelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Dykes
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Godden
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Fevrier
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry xG (home)1.86
Charlton xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 42.3%

Team Comparison Coventry vs Charlton

80.43% Pass accuracy 70.28%
438.33 Passes per match 315.15
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.07
9.41 Fouls committed 12.09
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
2.37 Offsides 2.15
13.76 Tackles per match 13.59

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coventry vs Charlton prediction analysis

Review Coventry vs Charlton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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