Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-09-13 14:00
Coventry
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
24%
2
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coventry (Home)

Goals scored / match2.22
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate48%
BTTS rate61%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coventry
WWWDD
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 87%
65% +1.5 43%
48% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 9%
9% +4.5 4%
61% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coventry averages 2.22 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Coventry(A) 1 - 2 Norwich Away
Sep 2025 Coventry 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Jan 2025 Coventry(A) 1 - 2 Norwich Away
Aug 2024 Coventry 0 - 1 Norwich Away
Feb 2024 Coventry(A) 1 - 2 Norwich Away

In the last 5 meetings, Coventry won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Coventry — unbeaten run (home)4
Coventry — scoring streak (home)2
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coventry Win (1)50%
Draw (X)24%
Norwich Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 87%
65% +1.5 43%
48% +2.5 13%
9% +3.5 9%
9% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 13%
35% -1.5 57%
52% -2.5 87%
91% -3.5 91%
91% -4.5 96%

Coventry vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coventry — scored (home)2.22
Coventry — conceded (home)0.83
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Coventry — BTTS matches (home)61%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coventry (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.5

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coventry
9 6 3 9 6
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Coventry (home)

For1.4

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Coventry — total shots (home)18.0
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Coventry — on target (home)5.8
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry xG (home)1.86
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Coventry vs Norwich

80.43% Pass accuracy 79.24%
438.33 Passes per match 435.28
-0.05 Goals prevented 0.13
9.41 Fouls committed 10.2
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.37 Offsides 1.93
13.76 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coventry vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Coventry vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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