Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Coventry vs Swansea

Coventry vs Swansea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-26 15:00
Coventry
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Swansea
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
20%
2
14%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Coventry (Home)

Goals scored / match2.22
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate48%
BTTS rate61%

Swansea (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Coventry
WWWDD
Swansea
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 65%
65% +1.5 30%
48% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Coventry averages 2.22 goals scored at home, while Swansea averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
20%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Coventry(A) 3 - 0 Swansea Home
Dec 2025 Coventry 1 - 0 Swansea Home
Feb 2025 Coventry(A) 2 - 0 Swansea Home
Sep 2024 Coventry 1 - 2 Swansea Away
Dec 2023 Coventry 2 - 2 Swansea Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Coventry won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Coventry — unbeaten run (home)4
Coventry — scoring streak (home)2
Swansea — winless run (away)1
Swansea — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Coventry Win (1)65%
Draw (X)20%
Swansea Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 65%
65% +1.5 30%
48% +2.5 4%
9% +3.5 0%
9% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 35%
35% -1.5 70%
52% -2.5 96%
91% -3.5 100%
91% -4.5 100%

Coventry vs Swansea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Coventry — scored (home)2.22
Coventry — conceded (home)0.83
Swansea — scored (away)1
Swansea — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Coventry — BTTS matches (home)61%
Swansea — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Coventry (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against3.5

Swansea (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Coventry
9 6 3 9 6
Swansea
14 16 9 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Coventry (home)

For1.4

Swansea (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Coventry — total shots (home)18.0
Swansea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Coventry — on target (home)5.8
Swansea — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Coventry

Inside the box11.46
Outside the box4.85

Swansea

Inside the box7.11
Outside the box5.2

Player Shots Coventry

H. Wright
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Thomas-Asante
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
E. Simms
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target23%
E. Mason-Clark
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target21%
T. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Idah
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Cullen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Walta
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Ronald
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coventry xG (home)1.86
Swansea xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

55.26% Possession 54.57%

Team Comparison Coventry vs Swansea

80.43% Pass accuracy 79.43%
438.33 Passes per match 461.63
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.11
9.41 Fouls committed 9.7
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
2.37 Offsides 2.11
13.76 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Coventry vs Swansea prediction analysis

Review Coventry vs Swansea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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