Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: CRB vs Vila Nova

CRB vs Vila Nova prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-07-27 22:30
CRB
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
CRB
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Vila Nova
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
24%
2
19%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

CRB (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Vila Nova (Away)

Goals scored / match0.33
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

CRB
WWDLW
Vila Nova
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 33%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

CRB averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Vila Nova averages 0.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 CRB 2 - 0 Vila Nova Home
Jul 2025 CRB(A) 0 - 2 Vila Nova Away
Sep 2024 CRB(A) 0 - 1 Vila Nova Away
May 2024 CRB 1 - 0 Vila Nova Home
Sep 2023 CRB(A) 1 - 0 Vila Nova Home

In the last 5 meetings, CRB won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

CRB — unbeaten run (home)3
CRB — scoring streak (home)3
Vila Nova — winless run (away)3
Vila Nova — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

CRB Win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Vila Nova Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 33%
67% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 67%
33% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

CRB vs Vila Nova — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

CRB — scored (home)1.67
CRB — conceded (home)1.33
Vila Nova — scored (away)0.33
Vila Nova — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

CRB — BTTS matches (home)100%
Vila Nova — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)66.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

CRB (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against3.7

Vila Nova (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

CRB
17 13 7 7 7
Vila Nova
10 12 1 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

CRB (home)

For1.7

Vila Nova (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.31

CRB

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.41
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.81

Vila Nova

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.90
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.48

Shots per Game

CRB — total shots (home)18.7
Vila Nova — total shots (away)7.0

Shots on Target

CRB — on target (home)6.3
Vila Nova — on target (away)1.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

CRB

Inside the box8.33
Outside the box7.5

Vila Nova

Inside the box4.83
Outside the box5.17

Player Shots CRB

Mikael
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target50%
Dadá Belmonte
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Thiaguinho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Crystopher
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Pedro Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Vila Nova

Janderson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Dudu Dos Santos
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Emerson Urso
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
André Luís
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marquinhos Gabriel
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

CRB xG (home)1.46
Vila Nova xG (away)1.25

Average Possession

47.67% Possession 49.5%

Team Comparison CRB vs Vila Nova

83.5% Pass accuracy 78.17%
393.17 Passes per match 310.17
0.39 Goals prevented -0.55
11.17 Fouls committed 12.83
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
0.83 Offsides 1.67
12.83 Tackles per match 13.33

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

CRB vs Vila Nova prediction analysis

Review CRB vs Vila Nova with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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