Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Criciuma vs Goias

Criciuma vs Goias prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-15 19:00
Criciuma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Goias
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
31%
2
33%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Criciuma (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate20%

Goias (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Criciuma
DWWWW
Goias
DWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 100%
20% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
20% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Criciuma averages 1 goals scored at home, while Goias averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
31%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 3

Oct 2025 Criciuma 1 - 2 Goias Away
Jul 2025 Criciuma(A) 1 - 1 Goias Draw
Mar 2022 Criciuma(A) 0 - 1 Goias Away

In the last 3 meetings, Criciuma won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Criciuma — unbeaten run (home)5
Criciuma — scoring streak (home)0
Goias — winless run (away)0
Goias — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Criciuma Win (1)36%
Draw (X)31%
Goias Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 100%
20% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 0%
80% -1.5 33%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Criciuma vs Goias — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Criciuma — scored (home)1
Criciuma — conceded (home)0.2
Goias — scored (away)1.67
Goias — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals1.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Criciuma — BTTS matches (home)20%
Goias — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)43.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Criciuma (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against2.8

Goias (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Criciuma
9 6 7 14 10
Goias
9 16 7 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Criciuma (home)

For2.2

Goias (away)

For1.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.87

Criciuma

Shots Over 9.588%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.562%
Expected shots15.68
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.70

Goias

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.19
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.36

Shots per Game

Criciuma — total shots (home)12.6
Goias — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Criciuma — on target (home)4.6
Goias — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Criciuma

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box6.2

Goias

Inside the box5.83
Outside the box5

Player Shots Criciuma

R. Otero
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Waguininho
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Fellipe Mateus
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Luciano Castán
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Bruno Alves
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Goias

Kadu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%
Djalma Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Ramon Menezes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Luiz Felipe
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%
Cadu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Criciuma xG (home)1.12
Goias xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

50.33% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Criciuma vs Goias

76% Pass accuracy 83.34%
326.2 Passes per match 397.5
0.13 Goals prevented 0.09
14.17 Fouls committed 13.83
2.83 Goalkeeper saves 2.33
3 Offsides 2.5
13.17 Tackles per match 12.33

League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Criciuma vs Goias prediction and preview

Preview Criciuma vs Goias with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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