What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Botafogo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Botafogo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-04 22:30

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

34%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Botafogo

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

29%

24%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Botafogo (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Botafogo

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 47%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

58% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Botafogo averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

29%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

34%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 2 Botafogo Draw

Aug 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 2 - 0 Botafogo Home

Jul 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 3 - 0 Botafogo Home

Apr 2024 Cruzeiro 3 - 2 Botafogo Home

Dec 2023 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 0 Botafogo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Botafogo — winless run (away)4

Botafogo — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)47%

Draw (X)29%

Botafogo Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 47%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 53%

42% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Botafogo — scored (away)1

Botafogo — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Botafogo — BTTS matches (away)21%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Botafogo (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Botafogo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Botafogo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Botafogo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Botafogo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 51.76%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

81.05% Pass accuracy 85.26%

363.13 Passes per match 454.05

0.12 Goals prevented 0.12

13.66 Fouls committed 14.61

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.5 Offsides 1.36

16.32 Tackles per match 15.24

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Botafogo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights