What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Flamengo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Flamengo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-04 21:30

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Flamengo

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

30%

26%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Flamengo

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%

58% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

30%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 0 Flamengo Draw

May 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Flamengo Home

Nov 2024 Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

Jun 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 2 Flamengo Away

Oct 2023 Cruzeiro 0 - 2 Flamengo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Flamengo — winless run (away)3

Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)44%

Draw (X)30%

Flamengo Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%

58% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%

42% -1.5 42%

74% -2.5 79%

89% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Flamengo — scored (away)1.68

Flamengo — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Flamengo

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

81.05% Pass accuracy 88.34%

363.13 Passes per match 562.39

0.12 Goals prevented -0.02

13.66 Fouls committed 13.42

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.5 Offsides 1.24

16.32 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights