What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC

Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-19 00:00

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

22%

15%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

58% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

22%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

May 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 2 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

Aug 2024 Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Apr 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 1 Fortaleza EC Draw

Nov 2023 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)64%

Draw (X)22%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

58% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

42% -1.5 79%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC

81.05% Pass accuracy 79.24%

363.13 Passes per match 354.39

0.12 Goals prevented 0.01

13.66 Fouls committed 14.18

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.5 Offsides 2.06

16.32 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights