What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Gremio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Gremio

Cruzeiro vs Gremio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-13 23:30

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

45%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Gremio

Away

Prediction Summary

61%

23%

16%

Under 2.5

55%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Gremio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Gremio

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Gremio averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

61%

Draw

23%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

45%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 0 Gremio Home

Jul 2025 Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Gremio Home

Nov 2024 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Gremio Draw

Jul 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 2 - 0 Gremio Home

Aug 2023 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 3 Gremio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Gremio — winless run (away)0

Gremio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)61%

Draw (X)23%

Gremio Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 16%

11% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%

42% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 84%

89% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Gremio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Gremio — scored (away)1.21

Gremio — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Gremio — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.589%

Under 7.511%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Gremio (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Gremio

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Gremio (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Gremio — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Gremio — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Gremio xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 45.16%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Gremio

81.05% Pass accuracy 82.32%

363.13 Passes per match 379.66

0.12 Goals prevented 0.22

13.66 Fouls committed 13.37

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.5 Offsides 1.08

16.32 Tackles per match 17.37

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Gremio prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Gremio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights