Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Juventude

Cruzeiro vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2025-07-20 19:00
Cruzeiro
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
86%
X
11%
2
3%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS No
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro
LDDWD
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%
58% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is High.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
86%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
86%
Draw
11%
Away Win
3%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
30%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 3 - 3 Juventude Draw
Jul 2025 Cruzeiro 4 - 0 Juventude Home
Dec 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 0 Juventude Home
Jul 2024 Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Juventude Home
Jan 2021 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 1 Juventude Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9
Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)86%
Draw (X)11%
Juventude Win (2)3%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%
58% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%
42% -1.5 84%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84
Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals3.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%
No70%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against4.6

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro
12 12 13 8 12
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.82

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Arroyo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
Matheus Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Gabriel Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Juventude

81.05% Pass accuracy 80.89%
363.13 Passes per match 339
0.12 Goals prevented -0.18
13.66 Fouls committed 15.89
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.5 Offsides 1.86
16.32 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top