What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-09 14:00

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Home Win

Pick

Cruzeiro

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

27%

24%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75

Goals conceded / match0.75

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate55%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.1

Goals conceded / match1.15

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LWLDD

Mirassol

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 75%

55% +1.5 30%

25% +2.5 5%

10% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

55% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 1 Mirassol Draw

Mar 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Mirassol Home

In the last 2 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)0

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)0

Mirassol — winless run (away)1

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)49%

Draw (X)27%

Mirassol Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 75%

55% +1.5 30%

25% +2.5 5%

10% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 25%

45% -1.5 70%

75% -2.5 95%

90% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.75

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.75

Mirassol — scored (away)1.1

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.15

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)55%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

13 8 12 12 8

Mirassol

12 11 5 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%

Under 19.520%

Over 22.567%

Under 22.533%

Over 25.553%

Under 25.547%

Expected total shots26.83

Cruzeiro

Shots Over 9.586%

Shots Over 11.574%

Shots Over 13.560%

Expected shots15.30

On Target Over 3.571%

On Target Over 4.554%

On Target Over 5.539%

Expected on target5.03

Mirassol

Shots Over 9.565%

Shots Over 11.547%

Shots Over 13.530%

Expected shots11.53

On Target Over 3.553%

On Target Over 4.535%

On Target Over 5.521%

Expected on target3.88

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target34%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target23%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target20%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Sinisterra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

81.05% Pass accuracy 83.97%

363.13 Passes per match 422.24

0.12 Goals prevented -0.08

13.66 Fouls committed 12.18

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.5 Offsides 1.84

16.35 Tackles per match 15.28

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction and preview

Preview Cruzeiro vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights