What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-29 21:30

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

26%

23%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Mirassol

DWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

26%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 1 Mirassol Draw

Mar 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Mirassol Home

In the last 2 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)51%

Draw (X)26%

Mirassol Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

42% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

81.05% Pass accuracy 83.97%

363.13 Passes per match 422.24

0.12 Goals prevented -0.08

13.66 Fouls committed 12.18

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.5 Offsides 1.84

16.32 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights