Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino

Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-21 23:30
Cruzeiro
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

RB Bragantino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro
LDDWD
RB Bragantino
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Apr 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 1 RB Bragantino Away
Dec 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 1 RB Bragantino Draw
Jul 2024 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 RB Bragantino Home
Sep 2023 Cruzeiro 0 - 0 RB Bragantino Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9
Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
RB Bragantino Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%
58% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%
42% -1.5 84%
74% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84
Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against4.6

RB Bragantino (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro
12 12 13 8 12
RB Bragantino
10 10 11 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

RB Bragantino (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76
Outside the box5.82

RB Bragantino

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Arroyo
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target25%
Matheus Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target21%
Gabriel Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Christian
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots RB Bragantino

Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 47.82%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino

81.05% Pass accuracy 81.68%
363.13 Passes per match 390.63
0.12 Goals prevented 0.01
13.66 Fouls committed 14.11
3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.5 Offsides 1.46
16.32 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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