What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-08-31 00:00

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

25%

22%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

Apr 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 1 Sao Paulo Draw

Sep 2024 Cruzeiro 0 - 1 Sao Paulo Away

Jun 2024 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

Nov 2023 Cruzeiro(A) 0 - 1 Sao Paulo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Cruzeiro won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)54%

Draw (X)25%

Sao Paulo Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%

58% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%

42% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

81.05% Pass accuracy 83.71%

363.13 Passes per match 438.63

0.12 Goals prevented 0.21

13.66 Fouls committed 14.24

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.5 Offsides 1.47

16.32 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights