What markets are included in the Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife

Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-05 23:30

Cruzeiro

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

44%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sport Recife

Away

Prediction Summary

63%

23%

14%

Under 2.5

56%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Cruzeiro (Home)

Goals scored / match1.84

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate58%

Sport Recife (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 47%

58% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Cruzeiro averages 1.84 goals scored at home, while Sport Recife averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

63%

Draw

23%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

44%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Sport Recife Draw

May 2025 Cruzeiro(A) 4 - 0 Sport Recife Home

Oct 2022 Cruzeiro(A) 1 - 3 Sport Recife Away

Jun 2022 Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Sport Recife Home

In the last 4 meetings, Cruzeiro won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Cruzeiro — unbeaten run (home)9

Cruzeiro — scoring streak (home)2

Sport Recife — winless run (away)10

Sport Recife — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Cruzeiro Win (1)63%

Draw (X)23%

Sport Recife Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 47%

58% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 53%

42% -1.5 89%

74% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Cruzeiro — scored (home)1.84

Cruzeiro — conceded (home)0.74

Sport Recife — scored (away)0.58

Sport Recife — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (home)58%

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.558%

Under 10.542%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Cruzeiro (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against4.6

Sport Recife (away)

Corners for5.6

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Cruzeiro (home)

For2.9

Sport Recife (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Cruzeiro — total shots (home)15.1

Sport Recife — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Cruzeiro — on target (home)5.7

Sport Recife — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruzeiro xG (home)1.27

Sport Recife xG (away)0.97

Average Possession

47.87% Possession 46.24%

Team Comparison Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife

81.05% Pass accuracy 81.37%

363.13 Passes per match 375.95

0.12 Goals prevented 0.15

13.66 Fouls committed 13.63

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 4.13

1.5 Offsides 1.84

16.32 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife prediction analysis

Review Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights