What markets are included in the Crystal Palace vs Brighton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Crystal Palace vs Brighton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace vs Brighton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Premier League 2025-11-09 14:00

Crystal Palace

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Brighton

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

23%

25%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Crystal Palace (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Brighton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Crystal Palace

LDLDL

Brighton

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Crystal Palace averages 1 goals scored at home, while Brighton averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

23%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Crystal Palace(A) 1 - 0 Brighton Home

Nov 2025 Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Brighton Draw

Apr 2025 Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Brighton Home

Dec 2024 Crystal Palace(A) 3 - 1 Brighton Home

Feb 2024 Crystal Palace(A) 1 - 4 Brighton Away

In the last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Crystal Palace — unbeaten run (home)0

Crystal Palace — scoring streak (home)2

Brighton — winless run (away)3

Brighton — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Crystal Palace Win (1)51%

Draw (X)23%

Brighton Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%

32% +1.5 37%

5% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%

68% -1.5 63%

95% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Crystal Palace vs Brighton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Crystal Palace — scored (home)1

Crystal Palace — conceded (home)1.21

Brighton — scored (away)1.16

Brighton — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (home)53%

Brighton — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%

Under 4.511%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.534%

Under 10.566%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Crystal Palace (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.4

Brighton (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Crystal Palace

8 15 13 13 7

Brighton

11 12 8 15 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Crystal Palace (home)

For1.7

Brighton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Crystal Palace — total shots (home)13.4

Brighton — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Crystal Palace — on target (home)3.9

Brighton — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Crystal Palace

Inside the box8.5

Outside the box3.13

Brighton

Inside the box8.66

Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Crystal Palace

J. Mateta

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target28%

I. Sarr

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

J. Strand Larsen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target14%

E. Nketiah

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Brighton

D. Welbeck

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Hinshelwood

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Mitoma

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

P. Groß

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace xG (home)1.53

Brighton xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

45.92% Possession 54.11%

Team Comparison Crystal Palace vs Brighton

77.55% Pass accuracy 83.5%

392.63 Passes per match 476.47

0.28 Goals prevented 0.04

10.47 Fouls committed 11.92

2.87 Goalkeeper saves 2.79

1.92 Offsides 1.68

18.55 Tackles per match 17.76

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Crystal Palace vs Brighton prediction analysis

Review Crystal Palace vs Brighton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights