What markets are included in the Crystal Palace vs Southampton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Crystal Palace vs Southampton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2024-12-29 15:00

Crystal Palace

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Southampton

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

28%

32%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Crystal Palace (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Crystal Palace

DWWDD

Southampton

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 58%

32% +1.5 11%

11% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Crystal Palace averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

28%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Crystal Palace(A) 1 - 1 Southampton Draw

Dec 2024 Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Southampton Home

Apr 2023 Crystal Palace(A) 2 - 0 Southampton Home

Jan 2023 Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Southampton Away

Oct 2022 Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Southampton Home

In the last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Crystal Palace — unbeaten run (home)6

Crystal Palace — scoring streak (home)2

Southampton — winless run (away)6

Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Crystal Palace Win (1)40%

Draw (X)28%

Southampton Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 58%

32% +1.5 11%

11% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 42%

68% -1.5 89%

89% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Crystal Palace vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Crystal Palace — scored (home)1.26

Crystal Palace — conceded (home)1.37

Southampton — scored (away)0.68

Southampton — conceded (away)2.05

Model expected combined goals2.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (home)63%

Southampton — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Crystal Palace (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against6.1

Southampton (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Crystal Palace

9 11 12 9 11

Southampton

13 13 16 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Crystal Palace (home)

For2.3

Southampton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Crystal Palace — total shots (home)14.3

Southampton — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Crystal Palace — on target (home)4.8

Southampton — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Crystal Palace

Inside the box9.11

Outside the box4.47

Southampton

Inside the box6.45

Outside the box2.58

Player Shots Crystal Palace

I. Sarr

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target24%

B. Chilwell

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

E. Eze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target18%

J. Mateta

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

P. Onuachu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target24%

J. Bednarek

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Mateus Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Harwood-Bellis

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace xG (home)1.62

Southampton xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

42.53% Possession 48.66%

Team Comparison Crystal Palace vs Southampton

76.21% Pass accuracy 84.79%

376.66 Passes per match 454.84

0.14 Goals prevented 0.07

10.97 Fouls committed 12.08

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 4.26

2 Offsides 1.44

20.18 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Crystal Palace vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Crystal Palace vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights