Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Tottenham

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-28 16:30
Crystal Palace
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Tottenham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
25%
2
43%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Crystal Palace (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Tottenham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Crystal Palace
LDLDL
Tottenham
WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Crystal Palace averages 1 goals scored at home, while Tottenham averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Crystal Palace(A) 3 - 1 Tottenham Home
Dec 2025 Crystal Palace 0 - 1 Tottenham Away
May 2025 Crystal Palace(A) 2 - 0 Tottenham Home
Oct 2024 Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Tottenham Home
Mar 2024 Crystal Palace(A) 1 - 3 Tottenham Away

In the last 5 meetings, Crystal Palace won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Crystal Palace — unbeaten run (home)0
Crystal Palace — scoring streak (home)2
Tottenham — winless run (away)1
Tottenham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Crystal Palace Win (1)32%
Draw (X)25%
Tottenham Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 47%
5% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%
68% -1.5 53%
95% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Crystal Palace — scored (home)1
Crystal Palace — conceded (home)1.21
Tottenham — scored (away)1.37
Tottenham — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Crystal Palace — BTTS matches (home)53%
Tottenham — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Crystal Palace (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Tottenham (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Crystal Palace
8 15 13 13 7
Tottenham
10 10 16 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Crystal Palace (home)

For1.7

Tottenham (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Crystal Palace — total shots (home)13.4
Tottenham — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Crystal Palace — on target (home)3.9
Tottenham — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Crystal Palace

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.13

Tottenham

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Crystal Palace

J. Mateta
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
I. Sarr
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%
E. Nketiah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Tottenham

Richarlison
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Solanke
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
B. Davies
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Kudus
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
X. Simons
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace xG (home)1.53
Tottenham xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

45.92% Possession 50.37%

Team Comparison Crystal Palace vs Tottenham

77.55% Pass accuracy 81.13%
392.63 Passes per match 413.37
0.28 Goals prevented -0.03
10.47 Fouls committed 12.13
2.87 Goalkeeper saves 2.45
1.92 Offsides 1.63
18.55 Tackles per match 19.45

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham prediction analysis

Review Crystal Palace vs Tottenham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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