Prediction Analysis: CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
CSKA Sofia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Qarabag
Away
Prediction Summary
1
22%
X
19%
2
59%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
71%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
CSKA Sofia (Home)
Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate100%
Qarabag (Away)
Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate0%
Team Form last 5 matches
CSKA Sofia
DWW
Qarabag
DWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
100%
100%
+1.5
100%
100%
+2.5
100%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.
CSKA Sofia averages 3 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 3 goals scored away.
Model Strength
76%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
22%
Draw
19%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
71%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jul 2026
CSKA Sofia(A)
0 - 0
Qarabag
Draw
In the last 1 meetings, CSKA Sofia won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
CSKA Sofia — unbeaten run (home)1
CSKA Sofia — scoring streak (home)1
Qarabag — winless run (away)0
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 1)1 of 1
1X2 Probability model
CSKA Sofia Win (1)22%
Draw (X)19%
Qarabag Win (2)59%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
100%
100%
+1.5
100%
100%
+2.5
100%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
0%
0%
-1.5
0%
0%
-2.5
0%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
CSKA Sofia — scored (home)3
CSKA Sofia — conceded (home)2
Qarabag — scored (away)3
Qarabag — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals4
Both Teams To Score
Yes71%
No29%
Rate per Team
CSKA Sofia — BTTS matches (home)100%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
CSKA Sofia (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Qarabag (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
CSKA Sofia
0
0
0
Qarabag
0
0
0
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.50%
Under 1.5100%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1
Yellow Cards per Team
CSKA Sofia (home)
For—
Qarabag (away)
For—
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.49
CSKA Sofia
Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.47
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.28
Qarabag
Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.02
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.03
Shots per Game
CSKA Sofia — total shots (home)—
Qarabag — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
CSKA Sofia — on target (home)—
Qarabag — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
CSKA Sofia
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Qarabag
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag prediction and preview
Preview CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights