Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Cobresal

D. La Serena vs Cobresal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-07-26 19:00
D. La Serena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Cobresal
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
25%
2
31%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

Cobresal (Away)

Goals scored / match0.93
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena
LLLLW
Cobresal
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 73%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Cobresal averages 0.93 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
25%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 D. La Serena(A) 1 - 0 Cobresal Home
Jul 2025 D. La Serena 0 - 2 Cobresal Away
Feb 2025 D. La Serena(A) 1 - 3 Cobresal Away

In the last 3 meetings, D. La Serena won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0
D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0
Cobresal — winless run (away)2
Cobresal — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)44%
Draw (X)25%
Cobresal Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 73%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 27%
67% -1.5 80%
93% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs Cobresal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13
D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6
Cobresal — scored (away)0.93
Cobresal — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%
Cobresal — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Cobresal (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7
Cobresal
8 14 12 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

Cobresal (away)

For3.6

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1
Cobresal — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0
Cobresal — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Cobresal

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box7.87

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Cobresal

J. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Coelho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target36%
C. Munder
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Gaete
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Ramirez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19
Cobresal xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 45.7%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Cobresal

76.53% Pass accuracy 78.9%
341.27 Passes per match 360.23
0 Goals prevented 0
11.8 Fouls committed 10.8
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 3.93
1.55 Offsides 2.24
14.53 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs Cobresal prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs Cobresal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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