Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Colo Colo

D. La Serena vs Colo Colo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-02-16 15:00
D. La Serena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
45%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Colo Colo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
27%
2
38%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

Colo Colo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.93
Goals conceded / match1.27
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena
LLLLW
Colo Colo
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 45%. Model confidence is Medium.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Colo Colo averages 0.93 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
27%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 D. La Serena(A) 1 - 2 Colo Colo Away
Feb 2025 D. La Serena 1 - 3 Colo Colo Away

In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0
D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0
Colo Colo — winless run (away)1
Colo Colo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)35%
Draw (X)27%
Colo Colo Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 33%
67% -1.5 80%
93% -2.5 93%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs Colo Colo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13
D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6
Colo Colo — scored (away)0.93
Colo Colo — conceded (away)1.27
Model expected combined goals2.47

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%
Colo Colo — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Colo Colo (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7
Colo Colo
5 8 6 12 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

Colo Colo (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1
Colo Colo — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0
Colo Colo — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Colo Colo

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box6.17

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Colo Colo

J. Correa
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target48%
L. Cepeda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target27%
A. Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Rodriguez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Pizarro
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19
Colo Colo xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 62%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Colo Colo

76.53% Pass accuracy 83.97%
341.27 Passes per match 505.3
0 Goals prevented 0
11.8 Fouls committed 10.5
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 2.6
1.55 Offsides 1.57
14.53 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs Colo Colo prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs Colo Colo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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