Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-05-31
16:30
D. La Serena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-0
Coquimbo Unido
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
31%
2
36%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
D. La Serena (Home)
Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%
Coquimbo Unido (Away)
Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
D. La Serena
LLLLW
Coquimbo Unido
WDWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
80%
33%
+1.5
47%
7%
+2.5
20%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.
D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Coquimbo Unido averages 1.53 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
39%
Head-to-Head last 2
Nov 2025
D. La Serena(A)
1 - 2
Coquimbo Unido
Away
May 2025
D. La Serena
2 - 4
Coquimbo Unido
Away
In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0
D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0
Coquimbo Unido — winless run (away)1
Coquimbo Unido — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
D. La Serena Win (1)33%
Draw (X)31%
Coquimbo Unido Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
80%
33%
+1.5
47%
7%
+2.5
20%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
20%
67%
-1.5
53%
93%
-2.5
80%
100%
-3.5
93%
100%
-4.5
100%
D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13
D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6
Coquimbo Unido — scored (away)1.53
Coquimbo Unido — conceded (away)0.53
Model expected combined goals1.95
Both Teams To Score
Yes39%
No61%
Rate per Team
D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%
Coquimbo Unido — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)46.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
D. La Serena (home)
Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7
Coquimbo Unido (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
D. La Serena
3
13
11
12
7
Coquimbo Unido
7
12
11
12
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3
Yellow Cards per Team
D. La Serena (home)
For2.5
Coquimbo Unido (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1
Coquimbo Unido — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0
Coquimbo Unido — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
D. La Serena
Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83
Coquimbo Unido
Inside the box7.67
Outside the box3.87
Player Shots D. La Serena
J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Coquimbo Unido
C. Waterman
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Palavecino
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Johansen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Donadell
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Zavala
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena xG (home)1.19
Coquimbo Unido xG (away)1.95
Average Possession
45.97%
Possession
41.5%
Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido
76.53%
Pass accuracy
72.57%
341.27
Passes per match
297.17
0
Goals prevented
0
11.8
Fouls committed
11.4
3.07
Goalkeeper saves
2.17
1.55
Offsides
2.29
14.53
Tackles per match
16.07
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido prediction analysis
Review D. La Serena vs Coquimbo Unido with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights