Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache

D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-06-22 16:30
D. La Serena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Deportes Limache
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

Deportes Limache (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match2.07
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate80%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena
LLLLW
Deportes Limache
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 87%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 80%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Deportes Limache averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 D. La Serena(A) 0 - 1 Deportes Limache Away
Jun 2025 D. La Serena 1 - 1 Deportes Limache Draw

In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0
D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0
Deportes Limache — winless run (away)0
Deportes Limache — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Deportes Limache Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 87%
33% +1.5 20%
7% +2.5 7%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 13%
67% -1.5 80%
93% -2.5 93%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13
D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6
Deportes Limache — scored (away)1.13
Deportes Limache — conceded (away)2.07
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%
Deportes Limache — BTTS matches (away)80%
Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Deportes Limache (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7
Deportes Limache
7 12 11 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

Deportes Limache (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1
Deportes Limache — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0
Deportes Limache — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Deportes Limache

Inside the box6.9
Outside the box5.2

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Deportes Limache

F. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Castro
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target32%
L. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Da Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Plaza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19
Deportes Limache xG (away)1.55

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 44.27%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache

76.53% Pass accuracy 75.27%
341.27 Passes per match 338.93
0 Goals prevented 0
11.8 Fouls committed 11.5
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.55 Offsides 1.8
14.53 Tackles per match 15.3

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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