Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Palestino

D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-11-29 21:00
D. La Serena
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Palestino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
27%
2
43%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

Palestino (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena
LLLLW
Palestino
DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 80%
33% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Palestino averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
27%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 D. La Serena 0 - 3 Palestino Away
Jun 2025 D. La Serena(A) 1 - 2 Palestino Away

In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0
D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0
Palestino — winless run (away)0
Palestino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)31%
Draw (X)27%
Palestino Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 80%
33% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 20%
67% -1.5 60%
93% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs Palestino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13
D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6
Palestino — scored (away)1.4
Palestino — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%
Palestino — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Palestino (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena
3 13 11 12 7
Palestino
7 12 14 12 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

Palestino (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1
Palestino — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0
Palestino — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23
Outside the box6.83

Palestino

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
Á. Henríquez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
G. Jara
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Ovando
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Palestino

J. Marabel
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
Joe Abrigo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Tapia Paez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19
Palestino xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 58.73%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Palestino

76.53% Pass accuracy 80.2%
341.27 Passes per match 448.07
0 Goals prevented 0
11.8 Fouls committed 10.7
3.07 Goalkeeper saves 3.2
1.55 Offsides 1.71
14.53 Tackles per match 14.4

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs Palestino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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