What markets are included in the D. La Serena vs U. Catolica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the D. La Serena vs U. Catolica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs U. Catolica

D. La Serena vs U. Catolica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-11-08 15:30

D. La Serena

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

U. Catolica

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

26%

43%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.6

Over 2.5 rate7%

BTTS rate60%

U. Catolica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2

Goals conceded / match0.87

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena

LLLLW

U. Catolica

WDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 73%

33% +1.5 27%

7% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while U. Catolica averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

26%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 D. La Serena 0 - 1 U. Catolica Away

May 2025 D. La Serena(A) 3 - 1 U. Catolica Home

In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0

D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0

U. Catolica — winless run (away)1

U. Catolica — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)31%

Draw (X)26%

U. Catolica Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 73%

33% +1.5 27%

7% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 27%

67% -1.5 73%

93% -2.5 87%

100% -3.5 93%

100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs U. Catolica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13

D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6

U. Catolica — scored (away)1.2

U. Catolica — conceded (away)0.87

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%

U. Catolica — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.580%

Under 7.520%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

U. Catolica (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena

3 13 11 12 7

U. Catolica

10 13 14 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

U. Catolica (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1

U. Catolica — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0

U. Catolica — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23

Outside the box6.83

U. Catolica

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box4.27

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

Á. Henríquez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

G. Jara

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target7%

L. Ovando

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

E. Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots U. Catolica

F. Zampedri

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

C. Montes

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Carcamo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

E. Bello

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

D. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19

U. Catolica xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 54.2%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs U. Catolica

76.53% Pass accuracy 80.53%

341.27 Passes per match 398.13

0 Goals prevented 0

11.8 Fouls committed 13.4

3.07 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.55 Offsides 1.53

14.53 Tackles per match 14.33

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs U. Catolica prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs U. Catolica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights