What markets are included in the D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-09-28 18:00

D. La Serena

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Universidad de Chile

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

25%

42%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

D. La Serena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.6

Over 2.5 rate7%

BTTS rate60%

Universidad de Chile (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

D. La Serena

LLLLW

Universidad de Chile

WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 60%

33% +1.5 33%

7% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

D. La Serena averages 1.13 goals scored at home, while Universidad de Chile averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

25%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 D. La Serena 1 - 1 Universidad de Chile Draw

Apr 2025 D. La Serena(A) 1 - 3 Universidad de Chile Away

In the last 2 meetings, D. La Serena won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

D. La Serena — unbeaten run (home)0

D. La Serena — scoring streak (home)0

Universidad de Chile — winless run (away)0

Universidad de Chile — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

D. La Serena Win (1)33%

Draw (X)25%

Universidad de Chile Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 60%

33% +1.5 33%

7% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 7%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 40%

67% -1.5 67%

93% -2.5 80%

100% -3.5 93%

100% -4.5 100%

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

D. La Serena — scored (home)1.13

D. La Serena — conceded (home)1.6

Universidad de Chile — scored (away)1.2

Universidad de Chile — conceded (away)1.2

Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

D. La Serena — BTTS matches (home)60%

Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.567%

Under 8.533%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

D. La Serena (home)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

Universidad de Chile (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

D. La Serena

3 13 11 12 7

Universidad de Chile

7 12 13 12 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

D. La Serena (home)

For2.5

Universidad de Chile (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

D. La Serena — total shots (home)15.1

Universidad de Chile — total shots (away)14.7

Shots on Target

D. La Serena — on target (home)4.0

Universidad de Chile — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

D. La Serena

Inside the box6.23

Outside the box6.83

Universidad de Chile

Inside the box10.23

Outside the box6

Player Shots D. La Serena

J. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

Á. Henríquez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

G. Jara

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target7%

L. Ovando

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

E. Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Universidad de Chile

L. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target35%

L. Di Yorio

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Guerra

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

R. Contreras

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Assadi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

D. La Serena xG (home)1.19

Universidad de Chile xG (away)2.54

Average Possession

45.97% Possession 58%

Team Comparison D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile

76.53% Pass accuracy 80.47%

341.27 Passes per match 432.17

0 Goals prevented 0

11.8 Fouls committed 11.13

3.07 Goalkeeper saves 2.73

1.55 Offsides 1.37

14.53 Tackles per match 17.2

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile prediction analysis

Review D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights