Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Damac vs Al-Fateh

Damac vs Al-Fateh prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-10-30 15:15
Damac
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Fateh
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
22%
2
29%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Damac (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Al-Fateh (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Damac
LWLLL
Al-Fateh
DWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Damac averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Al-Fateh averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
22%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Damac(A) 1 - 1 Al-Fateh Draw
Oct 2025 Damac 1 - 1 Al-Fateh Draw
May 2025 Damac 0 - 1 Al-Fateh Away
Jan 2025 Damac(A) 1 - 2 Al-Fateh Away
Feb 2024 Damac(A) 1 - 1 Al-Fateh Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Damac won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Damac — unbeaten run (home)1
Damac — scoring streak (home)1
Al-Fateh — winless run (away)10
Al-Fateh — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Damac Win (1)49%
Draw (X)22%
Al-Fateh Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 18%
12% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%
76% -1.5 82%
88% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Damac vs Al-Fateh — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Damac — scored (home)1.06
Damac — conceded (home)1.18
Al-Fateh — scored (away)0.94
Al-Fateh — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Damac — BTTS matches (home)53%
Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Damac (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7

Al-Fateh (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Damac
14 5 10 13 8
Al-Fateh
12 4 7 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Damac (home)

For1.8

Al-Fateh (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Damac — total shots (home)11.8
Al-Fateh — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Damac — on target (home)3.5
Al-Fateh — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Damac

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.26

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Damac

J. Okita
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Y. Meïté
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
V. Vada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target45%
K. Toko Ekambi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Bendebka
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target14%
Abdullah Al Anazi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Damac xG (home)0.92
Al-Fateh xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

46.79% Possession 46.35%

Team Comparison Damac vs Al-Fateh

81.24% Pass accuracy 78.41%
363.88 Passes per match 319.21
-0.27 Goals prevented 0.44
10.85 Fouls committed 13.09
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.68
2.12 Offsides 2.26
13.53 Tackles per match 18.06

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Damac vs Al-Fateh prediction analysis

Review Damac vs Al-Fateh with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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