Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Damac vs Al Najma

Damac vs Al Najma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-22 13:40
Damac
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al Najma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Damac (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Al Najma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Damac
LWLLL
Al Najma
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 12%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Damac averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Al Najma averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 3

Mar 2026 Damac(A) 3 - 1 Al Najma Home
Nov 2025 Damac 0 - 0 Al Najma Draw
Sep 2024 Damac(A) 0 - 2 Al Najma Away

In the last 3 meetings, Damac won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Damac — unbeaten run (home)1
Damac — scoring streak (home)1
Al Najma — winless run (away)17
Al Najma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Damac Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Al Najma Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 12%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 47%
76% -1.5 88%
88% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Damac vs Al Najma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Damac — scored (home)1.06
Damac — conceded (home)1.18
Al Najma — scored (away)0.65
Al Najma — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Damac — BTTS matches (home)53%
Al Najma — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Damac (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7

Al Najma (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Damac
14 5 10 13 8
Al Najma
6 10 8 10 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Damac (home)

For1.8

Al Najma (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Damac — total shots (home)11.8
Al Najma — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Damac — on target (home)3.5
Al Najma — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Damac

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.26

Al Najma

Inside the box5.47
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Damac

J. Okita
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Y. Meïté
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
V. Vada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al Najma

Ali Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Felippe Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target7%
Lázaro
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Boutobba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Damac xG (home)0.92
Al Najma xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

46.79% Possession 45.06%

Team Comparison Damac vs Al Najma

81.24% Pass accuracy 80.32%
363.88 Passes per match 359.21
-0.27 Goals prevented -0.03
10.85 Fouls committed 9.71
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.12 Offsides 2.21
13.53 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Damac vs Al Najma prediction analysis

Review Damac vs Al Najma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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