Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Damac vs NEOM

Damac vs NEOM prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-09-14 15:50
Damac
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
NEOM
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
27%
2
37%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Damac (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

NEOM (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Damac
LWLLL
NEOM
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Damac averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while NEOM averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
27%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Damac(A) 0 - 3 NEOM Away
Sep 2025 Damac 1 - 2 NEOM Away

In the last 2 meetings, Damac won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Damac — unbeaten run (home)1
Damac — scoring streak (home)1
NEOM — winless run (away)3
NEOM — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Damac Win (1)36%
Draw (X)27%
NEOM Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%
76% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Damac vs NEOM — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Damac — scored (home)1.06
Damac — conceded (home)1.18
NEOM — scored (away)1.35
NEOM — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Damac — BTTS matches (home)53%
NEOM — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Damac (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7

NEOM (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Damac
14 5 10 13 8
NEOM
7 12 8 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Damac (home)

For1.8

NEOM (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Damac — total shots (home)11.8
NEOM — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Damac — on target (home)3.5
NEOM — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Damac

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.26

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Player Shots Damac

J. Okita
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Y. Meïté
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
V. Vada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Damac xG (home)0.92
NEOM xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

46.79% Possession 52.76%

Team Comparison Damac vs NEOM

81.24% Pass accuracy 83.58%
363.88 Passes per match 412.61
-0.27 Goals prevented 0.39
10.85 Fouls committed 11.48
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
2.12 Offsides 1.72
13.53 Tackles per match 15.58

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Damac vs NEOM prediction analysis

Review Damac vs NEOM with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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