Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: DC United vs Nashville SC

DC United vs Nashville SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-01 23:30
DC United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nashville SC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
25%
2
41%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

DC United (Home)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Nashville SC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

DC United
WDDLL
Nashville SC
LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

56% +0.5 75%
28% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

DC United averages 0.83 goals scored at home, while Nashville SC averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
25%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2025 DC United(A) 2 - 5 Nashville SC Away
Jun 2025 DC United 0 - 1 Nashville SC Away
May 2025 DC United(A) 0 - 0 Nashville SC Draw
Oct 2024 DC United(A) 4 - 3 Nashville SC Home
Jul 2024 DC United 2 - 1 Nashville SC Home

In the last 5 meetings, DC United won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

DC United — unbeaten run (home)1
DC United — scoring streak (home)1
Nashville SC — winless run (away)10
Nashville SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

DC United Win (1)34%
Draw (X)25%
Nashville SC Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

56% +0.5 75%
28% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

44% -0.5 25%
72% -1.5 70%
100% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

DC United vs Nashville SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

DC United — scored (home)0.83
DC United — conceded (home)1.78
Nashville SC — scored (away)1.15
Nashville SC — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

DC United — BTTS matches (home)56%
Nashville SC — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

DC United (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.8

Nashville SC (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

DC United
7 17 13 6 12
Nashville SC
8 6 6 5 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

DC United (home)

For2.8

Nashville SC (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.78

DC United

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.28
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.78

Nashville SC

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.51
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34

Shots per Game

DC United — total shots (home)10.9
Nashville SC — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

DC United — on target (home)3.2
Nashville SC — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

DC United

Inside the box7.09
Outside the box3.82

Nashville SC

Inside the box9.38
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots DC United

C. Benteke
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
Peglow
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. MacNaughton
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
L. Bartlett
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Gabriel Pirani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Nashville SC

H. Mukhtar
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target58%
S. Surridge
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target45%
A. Najar
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target5%
J. Shaffelburg
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
P. Yazbek
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

DC United xG (home)1.1
Nashville SC xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

45.06% Possession 50.41%

Team Comparison DC United vs Nashville SC

78.15% Pass accuracy 85.15%
398.71 Passes per match 466.65
-0.04 Goals prevented 0.19
13.97 Fouls committed 13.76
3.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.35 Offsides 2.11
17.35 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

DC United vs Nashville SC prediction and preview

Preview DC United vs Nashville SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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