Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Den Bosch vs Almere City FC

Den Bosch vs Almere City FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-08 14:30
Den Bosch
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Almere City FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
22%
2
34%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Den Bosch (Home)

Goals scored / match1.85
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate75%

Almere City FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate77%

Team Form last 5 matches

Den Bosch
LLLDL
Almere City FC
LLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 86%
55% +1.5 59%
15% +2.5 27%
10% +3.5 9%
10% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 77%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Den Bosch averages 1.85 goals scored at home, while Almere City FC averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
22%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Den Bosch(A) 0 - 3 Almere City FC Away
Apr 2026 Den Bosch 2 - 3 Almere City FC Away
Apr 2026 Den Bosch(A) 2 - 1 Almere City FC Home
Nov 2025 Den Bosch 5 - 2 Almere City FC Home
May 2023 Den Bosch 2 - 2 Almere City FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Den Bosch won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Den Bosch — unbeaten run (home)0
Den Bosch — scoring streak (home)10
Almere City FC — winless run (away)2
Almere City FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Den Bosch Win (1)44%
Draw (X)22%
Almere City FC Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 86%
55% +1.5 59%
15% +2.5 27%
10% +3.5 9%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 14%
45% -1.5 41%
85% -2.5 73%
90% -3.5 91%
90% -4.5 100%

Den Bosch vs Almere City FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Den Bosch — scored (home)1.85
Den Bosch — conceded (home)1.5
Almere City FC — scored (away)1.82
Almere City FC — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Den Bosch — BTTS matches (home)75%
Almere City FC — BTTS matches (away)77%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Den Bosch (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against5.8

Almere City FC (away)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Den Bosch
9 12 8 15 11
Almere City FC
10 9 11 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.574%
Under 1.526%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Den Bosch (home)

For1.6

Almere City FC (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.570%
Under 22.530%
Over 25.556%
Under 25.544%
Expected total shots27.70

Den Bosch

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.553%
Expected shots14.44
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.07

Almere City FC

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.25
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.00

Shots per Game

Den Bosch — total shots (home)14.8
Almere City FC — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

Den Bosch — on target (home)5.5
Almere City FC — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Den Bosch

Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.42

Almere City FC

Inside the box10.08
Outside the box6.39

Player Shots Den Bosch

I. Boumassaoudi
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. De Vries
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target18%
K. Monzialo
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
S. Karlsson Grach
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. El Allachi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Almere City FC

F. Druijf
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. El Dahri
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Burgering
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Poku
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
Julian Dean Rijkhoff
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target27%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Den Bosch xG (home)1.5
Almere City FC xG (away)1.94

Average Possession

47.39% Possession 48.08%

Team Comparison Den Bosch vs Almere City FC

81.37% Pass accuracy 78.68%
373.11 Passes per match 403.74
0 Goals prevented 0
11.29 Fouls committed 11.53
3.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
2.16 Offsides 1.46
17.24 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Den Bosch vs Almere City FC prediction analysis

Review Den Bosch vs Almere City FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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