Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dender vs Cercle Brugge

Dender vs Cercle Brugge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-07-26 14:00
Dender
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Cercle Brugge
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
24%
2
52%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Dender (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Cercle Brugge (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dender
DLLWL
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 78%
21% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Dender averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Cercle Brugge averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
24%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Dender(A) 1 - 2 Cercle Brugge Away
Apr 2026 Dender 1 - 4 Cercle Brugge Away
Mar 2026 Dender(A) 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Draw
Jul 2025 Dender 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Draw
Jan 2025 Dender 0 - 1 Cercle Brugge Away

In the last 5 meetings, Dender won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Dender — unbeaten run (home)2
Dender — scoring streak (home)0
Cercle Brugge — winless run (away)1
Cercle Brugge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dender Win (1)24%
Draw (X)24%
Cercle Brugge Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 78%
21% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 22%
79% -1.5 61%
100% -2.5 78%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Dender vs Cercle Brugge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dender — scored (home)0.84
Dender — conceded (home)1.84
Cercle Brugge — scored (away)1.5
Cercle Brugge — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Dender — BTTS matches (home)58%
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dender (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.0

Cercle Brugge (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dender
13 9 11 13 10
Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Dender (home)

For2.1

Cercle Brugge (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Dender — total shots (home)11.4
Cercle Brugge — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Dender — on target (home)3.5
Cercle Brugge — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dender

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box3.26

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Dender

A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Nsimba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Toševski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hrnčár
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Ferraro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dender xG (home)1.21
Cercle Brugge xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

48.03% Possession 47.67%

Team Comparison Dender vs Cercle Brugge

75.5% Pass accuracy 74.75%
390.53 Passes per match 367.03
0.04 Goals prevented 0.2
11.55 Fouls committed 10.64
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.36
2.16 Offsides 2.97
18.18 Tackles per match 19.03

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dender vs Cercle Brugge prediction analysis

Review Dender vs Cercle Brugge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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