Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dender vs KVC Westerlo

Dender vs KVC Westerlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-29 15:00
Dender
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
KVC Westerlo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
25%
2
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dender (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

KVC Westerlo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dender
DLLWL
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 65%
21% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dender averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while KVC Westerlo averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Dender 2 - 2 KVC Westerlo Draw
Oct 2025 Dender(A) 1 - 1 KVC Westerlo Draw
May 2025 Dender(A) 2 - 4 KVC Westerlo Away
Mar 2025 Dender 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home
Dec 2024 Dender 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Dender won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Dender — unbeaten run (home)2
Dender — scoring streak (home)0
KVC Westerlo — winless run (away)1
KVC Westerlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dender Win (1)39%
Draw (X)25%
KVC Westerlo Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 65%
21% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 35%
79% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Dender vs KVC Westerlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dender — scored (home)0.84
Dender — conceded (home)1.84
KVC Westerlo — scored (away)1.2
KVC Westerlo — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Dender — BTTS matches (home)58%
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dender (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.0

KVC Westerlo (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dender
13 9 11 13 10
KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Dender (home)

For2.1

KVC Westerlo (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Dender — total shots (home)11.4
KVC Westerlo — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Dender — on target (home)3.5
KVC Westerlo — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dender

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box3.26

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Dender

A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Nsimba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Toševski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hrnčár
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Ferraro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dender xG (home)1.21
KVC Westerlo xG (away)1.54

Average Possession

48.03% Possession 49.33%

Team Comparison Dender vs KVC Westerlo

75.5% Pass accuracy 79.2%
390.53 Passes per match 397.68
0.04 Goals prevented 0.03
11.55 Fouls committed 11.2
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
2.16 Offsides 1
18.18 Tackles per match 16.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dender vs KVC Westerlo prediction analysis

Review Dender vs KVC Westerlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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