Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dender vs Standard Liege

Dender vs Standard Liege prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-20 15:00
Dender
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Standard Liege
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
28%
2
44%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dender (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%

Standard Liege (Away)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate30%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dender
DLLWL
Standard Liege
LWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 65%
21% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 30%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dender averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Standard Liege averages 1.3 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
28%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Dender 0 - 1 Standard Liege Away
Dec 2025 Dender 3 - 2 Standard Liege Home
Aug 2025 Dender(A) 1 - 1 Standard Liege Draw
May 2025 Dender(A) 0 - 0 Standard Liege Draw
Apr 2025 Dender 1 - 1 Standard Liege Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Dender won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Dender — unbeaten run (home)2
Dender — scoring streak (home)0
Standard Liege — winless run (away)0
Standard Liege — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dender Win (1)27%
Draw (X)28%
Standard Liege Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 65%
21% +1.5 40%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 35%
79% -1.5 60%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Dender vs Standard Liege — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dender — scored (home)0.84
Dender — conceded (home)1.84
Standard Liege — scored (away)1.3
Standard Liege — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Dender — BTTS matches (home)58%
Standard Liege — BTTS matches (away)30%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dender (home)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.0

Standard Liege (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dender
13 9 11 13 10
Standard Liege
10 10 9 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.554%
Under 2.546%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Dender (home)

For2.1

Standard Liege (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Dender — total shots (home)11.4
Standard Liege — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Dender — on target (home)3.5
Standard Liege — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dender

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box3.26

Standard Liege

Inside the box6.85
Outside the box3

Player Shots Dender

A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Nsimba
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
D. Toševski
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Hrnčár
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Ferraro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Standard Liege

R. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernard Nguene
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Nkada
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Teuma
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dender xG (home)1.21
Standard Liege xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

48.03% Possession 44.33%

Team Comparison Dender vs Standard Liege

75.5% Pass accuracy 75.3%
390.53 Passes per match 367.95
0.04 Goals prevented 0.23
11.55 Fouls committed 10.25
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.68
2.16 Offsides 2.37
18.18 Tackles per match 14.38

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dender vs Standard Liege prediction analysis

Review Dender vs Standard Liege with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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