Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano

Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera División 2025-07-27 22:00
Deportes Iquique
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
A. Italiano
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
24%
2
51%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Deportes Iquique (Home)

Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match1.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%

A. Italiano (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
A. Italiano
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportes Iquique averages 1.27 goals scored at home, while A. Italiano averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
24%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Deportes Iquique 1 - 0 A. Italiano Home
Feb 2025 Deportes Iquique(A) 2 - 4 A. Italiano Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Iquique won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportes Iquique — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Iquique — scoring streak (home)5
A. Italiano — winless run (away)0
A. Italiano — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Iquique Win (1)25%
Draw (X)24%
A. Italiano Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 80%
47% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 20%
53% -1.5 60%
93% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Iquique — scored (home)1.27
Deportes Iquique — conceded (home)1.93
A. Italiano — scored (away)1.47
A. Italiano — conceded (away)1.73
Model expected combined goals2.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (home)60%
A. Italiano — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Iquique (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against3.6

A. Italiano (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Iquique
3 7 12 14 4
A. Italiano
8 19 13 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Iquique (home)

For2.7

A. Italiano (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Deportes Iquique — total shots (home)14.1
A. Italiano — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Deportes Iquique — on target (home)4.3
A. Italiano — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Iquique

Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93
Outside the box4.93

Player Shots Deportes Iquique

Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
E. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
Michael Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Riveros
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Iquique xG (home)1.27
A. Italiano xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

44.77% Possession 43.13%

Team Comparison Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano

72.67% Pass accuracy 72.9%
327.83 Passes per match 303.87
0 Goals prevented 0
11.03 Fouls committed 10.47
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.8
2.4 Offsides 2
14.87 Tackles per match 15.55

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano prediction analysis

Review Deportes Iquique vs A. Italiano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top