Prediction Analysis: Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica
Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-08-02
21:30
Deportes Iquique
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
U. Catolica
Away
Prediction Summary
1
30%
X
27%
2
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportes Iquique (Home)
Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match1.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%
U. Catolica (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match0.87
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
U. Catolica
WDWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
73%
47%
+1.5
27%
7%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportes Iquique averages 1.27 goals scored at home, while U. Catolica averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Deportes Iquique
2 - 2
U. Catolica
Draw
Mar 2025
Deportes Iquique(A)
0 - 1
U. Catolica
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Iquique won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Deportes Iquique — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Iquique — scoring streak (home)5
U. Catolica — winless run (away)1
U. Catolica — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportes Iquique Win (1)30%
Draw (X)27%
U. Catolica Win (2)43%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
73%
47%
+1.5
27%
7%
+2.5
13%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
27%
53%
-1.5
73%
93%
-2.5
87%
100%
-3.5
93%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportes Iquique — scored (home)1.27
Deportes Iquique — conceded (home)1.93
U. Catolica — scored (away)1.2
U. Catolica — conceded (away)0.87
Model expected combined goals2.38
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (home)60%
U. Catolica — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportes Iquique (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.6
U. Catolica (away)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportes Iquique
3
7
12
14
4
U. Catolica
10
13
14
10
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportes Iquique (home)
For2.7
U. Catolica (away)
For3.1
Shots per Game
Deportes Iquique — total shots (home)14.1
U. Catolica — total shots (away)10.8
Shots on Target
Deportes Iquique — on target (home)4.3
U. Catolica — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportes Iquique
Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7
U. Catolica
Inside the box7.63
Outside the box4.27
Player Shots Deportes Iquique
Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots U. Catolica
F. Zampedri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Montes
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Carcamo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Bello
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Iquique xG (home)1.27
U. Catolica xG (away)1.22
Average Possession
44.77%
Possession
54.2%
Team Comparison Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica
72.67%
Pass accuracy
80.53%
327.83
Passes per match
398.13
0
Goals prevented
0
11.03
Fouls committed
13.4
3.5
Goalkeeper saves
2.47
2.4
Offsides
1.53
14.87
Tackles per match
14.33
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica prediction analysis
Review Deportes Iquique vs U. Catolica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights