Prediction Analysis: Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola
Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-03-16
23:30
Deportes Iquique
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Union Espanola
Away
Prediction Summary
1
43%
X
25%
2
33%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportes Iquique (Home)
Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match1.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%
Union Espanola (Away)
Goals scored / match0.73
Goals conceded / match1.87
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
Union Espanola
LLLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
40%
47%
+1.5
20%
7%
+2.5
7%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportes Iquique averages 1.27 goals scored at home, while Union Espanola averages 0.73 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
43%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Deportes Iquique(A)
2 - 2
Union Espanola
Draw
Mar 2025
Deportes Iquique
0 - 4
Union Espanola
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Iquique won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Deportes Iquique — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Iquique — scoring streak (home)5
Union Espanola — winless run (away)4
Union Espanola — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportes Iquique Win (1)43%
Draw (X)25%
Union Espanola Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
40%
47%
+1.5
20%
7%
+2.5
7%
0%
+3.5
7%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
60%
53%
-1.5
80%
93%
-2.5
93%
100%
-3.5
93%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportes Iquique — scored (home)1.27
Deportes Iquique — conceded (home)1.93
Union Espanola — scored (away)0.73
Union Espanola — conceded (away)1.87
Model expected combined goals2.9
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (home)60%
Union Espanola — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)46.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportes Iquique (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.6
Union Espanola (away)
Corners for4.9
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportes Iquique
3
7
12
14
4
Union Espanola
7
8
11
15
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportes Iquique (home)
For2.7
Union Espanola (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Deportes Iquique — total shots (home)14.1
Union Espanola — total shots (away)14.1
Shots on Target
Deportes Iquique — on target (home)4.3
Union Espanola — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportes Iquique
Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7
Union Espanola
Inside the box7.93
Outside the box6.13
Player Shots Deportes Iquique
Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Union Espanola
P. Aránguiz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target15%
M. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Uribe
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
I. Jeraldino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Marín
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Iquique xG (home)1.27
Union Espanola xG (away)1.45
Average Possession
44.77%
Possession
51.87%
Team Comparison Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola
72.67%
Pass accuracy
78.9%
327.83
Passes per match
401.97
0
Goals prevented
0
11.03
Fouls committed
10.67
3.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
2.4
Offsides
2.14
14.87
Tackles per match
16.07
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola prediction analysis
Review Deportes Iquique vs Union Espanola with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights