Prediction Analysis: Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera
Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-05-26
00:00
Deportes Iquique
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Union La Calera
Away
Prediction Summary
1
26%
X
26%
2
47%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportes Iquique (Home)
Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match1.93
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate60%
Union La Calera (Away)
Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportes Iquique
LWWWL
Union La Calera
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
73%
+0.5
53%
47%
+1.5
7%
7%
+2.5
7%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportes Iquique averages 1.27 goals scored at home, while Union La Calera averages 0.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
26%
Draw
26%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 2
Nov 2025
Deportes Iquique(A)
2 - 1
Union La Calera
Home
May 2025
Deportes Iquique
0 - 1
Union La Calera
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Iquique won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Deportes Iquique — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Iquique — scoring streak (home)5
Union La Calera — winless run (away)8
Union La Calera — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportes Iquique Win (1)26%
Draw (X)26%
Union La Calera Win (2)47%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
73%
+0.5
53%
47%
+1.5
7%
7%
+2.5
7%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
27%
-0.5
47%
53%
-1.5
93%
93%
-2.5
93%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportes Iquique — scored (home)1.27
Deportes Iquique — conceded (home)1.93
Union La Calera — scored (away)0.67
Union La Calera — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Deportes Iquique — BTTS matches (home)60%
Union La Calera — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportes Iquique (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.6
Union La Calera (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against6.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportes Iquique
3
7
12
14
4
Union La Calera
7
7
6
8
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportes Iquique (home)
For2.7
Union La Calera (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Deportes Iquique — total shots (home)14.1
Union La Calera — total shots (away)8.0
Shots on Target
Deportes Iquique — on target (home)4.3
Union La Calera — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportes Iquique
Inside the box7.87
Outside the box4.7
Union La Calera
Inside the box5.57
Outside the box4.23
Player Shots Deportes Iquique
Á. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
E. Puch
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Venezia
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Pino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dávila
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Union La Calera
S. Sáez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Benegas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ignacio Mesías
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Insaurralde
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Encinas
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Iquique xG (home)1.27
Union La Calera xG (away)1.05
Average Possession
44.77%
Possession
49.03%
Team Comparison Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera
72.67%
Pass accuracy
76.73%
327.83
Passes per match
383.4
0
Goals prevented
0
11.03
Fouls committed
11.5
3.5
Goalkeeper saves
2.76
2.4
Offsides
1.74
14.87
Tackles per match
15.45
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera prediction analysis
Review Deportes Iquique vs Union La Calera with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights