Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano

Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-11 23:00
Deportes Limache
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
A. Italiano
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
29%
2
34%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Deportes Limache (Home)

Goals scored / match1.27
Goals conceded / match0.8
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate27%

A. Italiano (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.73
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Limache
WWWLL
A. Italiano
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

73% +0.5 80%
40% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%
27% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportes Limache averages 1.27 goals scored at home, while A. Italiano averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Deportes Limache 4 - 0 A. Italiano Home
Mar 2025 Deportes Limache(A) 1 - 3 A. Italiano Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Limache won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportes Limache — unbeaten run (home)3
Deportes Limache — scoring streak (home)3
A. Italiano — winless run (away)0
A. Italiano — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Limache Win (1)37%
Draw (X)29%
A. Italiano Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

73% +0.5 80%
40% +1.5 40%
7% +2.5 20%
7% +3.5 7%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

27% -0.5 20%
60% -1.5 60%
93% -2.5 80%
93% -3.5 93%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Limache — scored (home)1.27
Deportes Limache — conceded (home)0.8
A. Italiano — scored (away)1.47
A. Italiano — conceded (away)1.73
Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Deportes Limache — BTTS matches (home)27%
A. Italiano — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Limache (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.1

A. Italiano (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Limache
7 12 11 8 7
A. Italiano
8 19 13 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Limache (home)

For2.9

A. Italiano (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Deportes Limache — total shots (home)12.7
A. Italiano — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Deportes Limache — on target (home)4.3
A. Italiano — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Limache

Inside the box6.9
Outside the box5.2

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93
Outside the box4.93

Player Shots Deportes Limache

F. Pons
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Castro
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target32%
L. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Da Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Plaza
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target32%
E. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
Michael Fuentes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Riveros
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Limache xG (home)1.55
A. Italiano xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

44.27% Possession 43.13%

Team Comparison Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano

75.27% Pass accuracy 72.9%
338.93 Passes per match 303.87
0 Goals prevented 0
11.5 Fouls committed 10.47
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.8
1.8 Offsides 2
15.3 Tackles per match 15.55

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano prediction analysis

Review Deportes Limache vs A. Italiano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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