Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas

Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primera A 2025-05-25 21:00
Deportes Tolima
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
26%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Águilas Doradas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
30%
2
17%
Under 2.5
74%
BTTS No
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Deportes Tolima (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate48%

Águilas Doradas (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Tolima
LLWDW
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 60%
44% +1.5 25%
19% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
48% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Águilas Doradas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
30%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS Yes
30%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 2 - 1 Águilas Doradas Home
May 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 2 Águilas Doradas Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0
Águilas Doradas — winless run (away)1
Águilas Doradas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Tolima Win (1)53%
Draw (X)30%
Águilas Doradas Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 60%
44% +1.5 25%
19% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 40%
56% -1.5 75%
81% -2.5 95%
96% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44
Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78
Águilas Doradas — scored (away)1
Águilas Doradas — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals1.78

Both Teams To Score

Yes30%
No70%

Rate per Team

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)49%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.528%
Under 9.572%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Tolima (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against2.7

Águilas Doradas (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Tolima
8 8 8 9 12
Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.597%
Under 2.53%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Tolima (home)

For2.9

Águilas Doradas (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7
Águilas Doradas — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5
Águilas Doradas — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02
Outside the box5.72

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. P. Torres Patino
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Parra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26
Águilas Doradas xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

53.69% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas

81.54% Pass accuracy 77.18%
409.22 Passes per match 329.4
0 Goals prevented 0
10.46 Fouls committed 11.88
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
1.42 Offsides 1.56
11.89 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas prediction analysis

Review Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top