Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali
Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-02-24
01:20
Deportes Tolima
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
30%
2
25%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportes Tolima (Home)
Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match0.78
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate48%
America de Cali (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportes Tolima
LLWDW
America de Cali
WLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
78%
+0.5
62%
44%
+1.5
19%
19%
+2.5
4%
4%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
48%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
67%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
30%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 4
Aug 2025
Deportes Tolima(A)
1 - 0
America de Cali
Home
Jun 2025
Deportes Tolima(A)
3 - 1
America de Cali
Home
Jun 2025
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
America de Cali
Draw
Feb 2025
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
America de Cali
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportes Tolima Win (1)45%
Draw (X)30%
America de Cali Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
78%
+0.5
62%
44%
+1.5
19%
19%
+2.5
4%
4%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
22%
-0.5
38%
56%
-1.5
81%
81%
-2.5
96%
96%
-3.5
96%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44
Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals2.03
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)41.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.538%
Under 8.562%
Over 9.521%
Under 9.579%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportes Tolima (home)
Corners for4.6
Corners against2.7
America de Cali (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportes Tolima
8
8
8
9
12
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportes Tolima (home)
For2.9
America de Cali (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportes Tolima
Inside the box7.02
Outside the box5.72
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Player Shots Deportes Tolima
G. Lencina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. P. Torres Patino
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Parra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26
America de Cali xG (away)0.87
Average Possession
53.69%
Possession
52.4%
Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali
81.54%
Pass accuracy
81.27%
409.22
Passes per match
393.67
0
Goals prevented
0
10.46
Fouls committed
12.02
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.42
Offsides
1.86
11.89
Tackles per match
12.15
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali prediction analysis
Review Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights