What markets are included in the Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga

Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-06 01:30

Deportes Tolima

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

25%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Bucaramanga

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

31%

16%

Under 2.5

75%

BTTS No

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Deportes Tolima (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate48%

Bucaramanga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.09

Over 2.5 rate9%

BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Bucaramanga

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 68%

44% +1.5 23%

19% +2.5 9%

4% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

48% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Bucaramanga averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

31%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

25%

BTTS Yes

28%

Head-to-Head last 4

Dec 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Draw

Nov 2025 Deportes Tolima 0 - 0 Bucaramanga Draw

Sep 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 0 - 2 Bucaramanga Away

Apr 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Bucaramanga Home

In the last 4 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0

Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0

Bucaramanga — winless run (away)1

Bucaramanga — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Tolima Win (1)54%

Draw (X)31%

Bucaramanga Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 68%

44% +1.5 23%

19% +2.5 9%

4% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 32%

56% -1.5 77%

81% -2.5 91%

96% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44

Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78

Bucaramanga — scored (away)1.05

Bucaramanga — conceded (away)1.09

Model expected combined goals1.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes28%

No72%

Rate per Team

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (away)55%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.581%

Under 5.519%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.558%

Under 7.542%

Over 8.539%

Under 8.561%

Over 9.530%

Under 9.570%

Over 10.522%

Under 10.578%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Tolima (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against2.7

Bucaramanga (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Bucaramanga

8 11 11 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.593%

Under 1.57%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Tolima (home)

For2.9

Bucaramanga (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7

Bucaramanga — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5

Bucaramanga — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09

Outside the box5.84

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Sambueza

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

F. Castañeda

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Gil

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26

Bucaramanga xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

53.69% Possession 53.98%

Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga

81.54% Pass accuracy 80.57%

409.22 Passes per match 388.5

0 Goals prevented 0

10.46 Fouls committed 11.86

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.2

1.42 Offsides 1.72

11.89 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga prediction analysis

Review Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights