What markets are included in the Deportes Tolima vs Envigado prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Deportes Tolima vs Envigado prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Envigado

Deportes Tolima vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-11 20:00

Deportes Tolima

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Envigado

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

28%

23%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Deportes Tolima (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate48%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.15

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Envigado

WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 45%

44% +1.5 30%

19% +2.5 15%

4% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

48% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 2 Envigado Away

Apr 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 1 - 3 Envigado Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0

Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0

Envigado — winless run (away)0

Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Tolima Win (1)49%

Draw (X)28%

Envigado Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 45%

44% +1.5 30%

19% +2.5 15%

4% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 55%

56% -1.5 70%

81% -2.5 85%

96% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Deportes Tolima vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44

Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78

Envigado — scored (away)0.95

Envigado — conceded (away)1.15

Model expected combined goals2.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%

Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)41.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.557%

Under 7.543%

Over 8.538%

Under 8.562%

Over 9.526%

Under 9.574%

Over 10.526%

Under 10.574%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Tolima (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against2.7

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.597%

Under 2.53%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Tolima (home)

For2.9

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7

Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5

Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26

Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

53.69% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs Envigado

81.54% Pass accuracy 74.7%

409.22 Passes per match 285.13

0 Goals prevented 0

10.46 Fouls committed 14.18

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.9

1.42 Offsides 1.74

11.89 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Tolima vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Deportes Tolima vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights