What markets are included in the Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas

Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-03-11 01:30

Deportes Tolima

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Once Caldas

Away

Prediction Summary

74%

20%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

76%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Deportes Tolima (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate48%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64

Goals conceded / match1.23

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Once Caldas

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 50%

44% +1.5 14%

19% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

48% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is High.

Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength

76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

74%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

24%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 1 - 0 Once Caldas Home

Mar 2025 Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 Once Caldas Home

In the last 2 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0

Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0

Once Caldas — winless run (away)3

Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Tolima Win (1)74%

Draw (X)20%

Once Caldas Win (2)6%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 50%

44% +1.5 14%

19% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 50%

56% -1.5 86%

81% -2.5 100%

96% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44

Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78

Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64

Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23

Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes24%

No76%

Rate per Team

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.570%

Under 6.530%

Over 7.554%

Under 7.546%

Over 8.541%

Under 8.559%

Over 9.528%

Under 9.572%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Tolima (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against2.7

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Once Caldas

7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.594%

Under 2.56%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Tolima (home)

For2.9

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7

Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5

Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02

Outside the box6.42

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

D. Moreno

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Barrios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. García

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26

Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

53.69% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas

81.54% Pass accuracy 81.02%

409.22 Passes per match 358.62

0 Goals prevented 0

10.46 Fouls committed 11.36

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.64

1.42 Offsides 2.43

11.89 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights