What markets are included in the Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-29 22:30

Deportes Tolima

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Santa Fe

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

28%

29%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Deportes Tolima (Home)

Goals scored / match1.44

Goals conceded / match0.78

Over 2.5 rate19%

BTTS rate48%

Santa Fe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate4%

BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Santa Fe

DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 70%

44% +1.5 33%

19% +2.5 4%

4% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 4%

48% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportes Tolima averages 1.44 goals scored at home, while Santa Fe averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

28%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Santa Fe Home

Nov 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 2 - 1 Santa Fe Home

Jul 2025 Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Santa Fe Away

Feb 2025 Deportes Tolima(A) 0 - 0 Santa Fe Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Deportes Tolima won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportes Tolima — unbeaten run (home)0

Deportes Tolima — scoring streak (home)0

Santa Fe — winless run (away)0

Santa Fe — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportes Tolima Win (1)43%

Draw (X)28%

Santa Fe Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 70%

44% +1.5 33%

19% +2.5 4%

4% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 30%

56% -1.5 67%

81% -2.5 96%

96% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 96%

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportes Tolima — scored (home)1.44

Deportes Tolima — conceded (home)0.78

Santa Fe — scored (away)1.22

Santa Fe — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (home)48%

Santa Fe — BTTS matches (away)52%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%

Under 4.57%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.561%

Under 7.539%

Over 8.541%

Under 8.559%

Over 9.530%

Under 9.570%

Over 10.522%

Under 10.578%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportes Tolima (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against2.7

Santa Fe (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Santa Fe

6 8 8 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportes Tolima (home)

For2.9

Santa Fe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Deportes Tolima — total shots (home)14.7

Santa Fe — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Deportes Tolima — on target (home)4.5

Santa Fe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04

Outside the box5.44

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target81%

+1.5 On Target37%

H. Mosquera

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target51%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Y. Perlaza

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

O. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportes Tolima xG (home)1.26

Santa Fe xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

53.69% Possession 48.19%

Team Comparison Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe

81.54% Pass accuracy 77.09%

409.22 Passes per match 334.04

0 Goals prevented 0

10.46 Fouls committed 11.52

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.42 Offsides 1.38

11.89 Tackles per match 10.54

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe prediction analysis

Review Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights